Friday, October 15, 2010

If the NBN is the solution, what is the problem?


I suggest three problems the NBN addresses:
1. High per Gb prices, compared to overseas
2. Capped Gb per month, compared to overseas
3. Price per month measured taking incomes and currency into account (ie affordability)


Also, I sent Minister of Broadband a note referring to my poster on the NBN



Senator Stephen Conroy,
Minister for Broadband, Communications and the Digital Economy
re: How to sell the sizzle of the NBN? .... to non technical Australians....

Dear Sir,

I recently produced this poster for the Melb Uni, IBES (Institute for a Broadband enabled Society) on how to portray the benefits of the NBN in a way that, I believe, is more appropriate (and more oriented) to consumers. The focus of NBN discussion on $43 billion and headline speed (100Mbps, 1Gbps) are all well and good for techies and IT professionals, but don't speak to the needs of more ordinary Australians, such as retirees who use broadband mainly for email, working mothers who manage a household budget, and other non-technical people. The NBN also needs to be sold to (well informed) non-technical people, but with language more in keeping with their interests and concerns. The poster provides a sample of three ordinary Australian and how the NBN will be better value for them.

Headline:
NBN: faster, simpler, cheaper broadband.
Get more…. Do more… on the NBN.

Poster Summary
Why do consumers adopt new technology? What holds them back? How much will they pay? Past innovation theory focuses on early and later adopters, the young and high income earners (Rogers 2003). Value theory suggests consumer goals drive consumer choices (Woodruff 1997). Co-construction of value (Vargo and Lusch 2008) is a new perspective suggesting consumer value drives successful innovation (Kim and Mauborgne 2005). Innovation succeeds when it creates consumer and shareholder value. Innovation fails when it fails to create value.

Conclusion
To sell the sizzle of the NBN, we need to talk about how the NBN creates value for consumers. The focus should become how the NBN is cheaper ($ per GB), faster, and ideally simpler in pricing, choice, and usage. We should forget the $43 billion headline price, and 1 Gbps headline speed and talk in terms consumers understand: price per month.

Poster Image at: here(9Mb)

Blogpost on my PhD blog here.


I am researching how consumers understand value in a new technology, looking at 3G mobile phones.

The focus I recommend for the NBN (price per month) is difficult while the NBN is providing a wholesale only service, but focus could be made on the current Tasmanian NBN retail offerings, especially where they are priced lower than current ADSL2+ pricing. I have a blogpost on this comparison too, I call NBN ValueWatch here .

Kind regards
Richard Ferrers
Innovation and Value analyst
University of Qld

Monday, October 11, 2010

What's important: in a (consumer) value theory of innovation





A Phd needs an academic contribution. The 'so what' was that research all about. Why was that research worth doing?

This post reprioritises the (consumer) value model. The Value Model focuses on the consumer aspect of Innovation: what do consumers value in a new technology?



What's Important with consumer value:

1. Consumers intimately describe value (meanings and practices) in connection with their actions (buying without waiting; waiting). Consumers' problem solving actions protect their existing value, while value reconfiguring (buying, exploring, comparing) seeks to grow new value. Consumers express their emotional response to value far more than any goals they might have, which are almost completely absent in descriptions of their experience.

2. Loss of value is a stronger drive to action (problem solving) than value.

3. Value actions include value practices: individual - exploring; comparing; filtering/closing; social - observing; inquiring; recommending; value consequences - buying; using; waiting.

4. Loss of Value actions (problem solving) include: seeking seller (innovator, telco) assistance; seeking alternatives; closing; doing nothing.

5. Pre purchase Value meanings include: connecting; bargain hunting; novelty; power, beauty, duty. Post purchase Value meanings include: service, reliability, simplicity. Underlying Value meanings include: function, need, emotion and time.

6. Consumers express Value memories as attitude; "brilliant", "fabulous", "amazed", "fantastic"; "happy", "better", "good", "prefer"; "problems", "don't want", "annoy", "dislike"; "total crap", "pissed off", "shits me", "totally unsatisfied". Attitude is positive or negative, strong or weak. Attitudes attach to (value meanings in and overall to) a value object. Simple valuing, where one thing is better than another in all aspects, is rational. Where one thing is compared to another thing; the first better in some ways, the second better in other ways, then valuing is complex.

7. Value meanings (and their creation) interact with and reconstruct Value practices (collecting and sorting value information). The interaction makes value dynamic, constructionist, complex (multi-meanings) and paradoxical (different meanings pull us to different actions).

8. Valuing takes place as a series of value conversations: social, individual and telco (innovator, promoter, contextual), so value is socially constructed and experiential.

9. Valuing continues pre and post purchase, so value is iterative and dynamic. I call this the Value phases.

Limits:
The Value Model is based on interviews of consumers about their 3G mobile phones. I asked consumers:
-how did you come to have your 3G mobile phone? how do you find it now you have got it?
-is there anything you would change? how do you find the telco?
-what does your 3G mobile phone mean to you?
The grounded theory methodology assumes a world in constant motion, where consumers' actions are based on the meanings they make out of their experiences in the world. This type of research is called interpretive, as I interpret the meanings consumers make, and as such is not generalisable in the way statistical research is.

The Value Model is complex but close to and grounded in consumer experience with 3G mobile phones.

Comparing:
The Value Model has been compared to the major innovation literature theories of technology adoption (diffusion of innovation) and major consumer value literature (see below)

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

Updated NBN Pricing: iiNet breaks $1/Gb barrier



Value Watch (Sept 2010)

Headline: iiNet, in new pricing, breaks the $1 per Gb barrier on $60 plan and above... iiNet substantially lowers its NBN pricing with September price release, and until June 2011, provides speed at fastest rate. iiNet leads lowest NBN pricing, below Exetel's $2/Gb pricing towards $0.20 per Gb ($110/mth), and $0.60 per Gb ($60 /
mth).

See Value Watch here.

Friday, October 1, 2010

The Overview Model: towards a (consumer) value theory of innovation



An overview model, linking the grounded theory concepts into one overview construct. The Chapter 7 draft is available as pdf (9.5Mb; here). Innovation in this thesis is defined as "something new (novelty, a value meaning) which adds value" (consistent with Schumpeter 1934, Drucker 1999, 2007, Porter 1999, Vargo and Lusch 2008). To create value, innovators need to understand what value is to consumers and how value works (the processes and practices of value) for the benefit of consumers. Thus value is addressed always and only from the consumer perspective. All references to value are to consumer value, rather than shareholder value. The top diagram shows the value structure from simple beginnings.

Key aspects of (Consumer) Value:

  • Value structure analysed through several dimensions: as three value conversations (individual, social and telco); three phases (pre purchase, post purchase, and consequences of value); and value interactions (between value meaning, value practices and context).

  • Valuing continues pre and post purchase (iterative, dynamic).

  • Value meanings, Value practices (12 each) interact and reconstruct one another (dynamic, constructionist, complex, paradoxical).

  • Social, Individual and telco practices (socially constructed, experiential).

  • Value stored as attitude (significantly emotional), so valuing largely not based on rational goals (Woodruff 1997) and decisions.

  • Model is not generalisable, since interpretive (grounded theory; derived from consumer experience).

  • Loss of value stronger driver to action than value (problem solving).

  • Model is too complex but close to and grounded in consumer experience with 3G mobile phones. Need several layers to explain model.

  • Model combines and compared to elements of innovation models; Bass (1969) individual, social practices, Bijker (1995) problem solving, Rogers (2003) linear adoption, Christensen (1997) adoption dynamics, Ryan and Gross (1943) knowledge intensive and social. Value Model built to examine, and analyse Kim and Mauborgne's (2005) Value Innovation; which hypothesises adoption when leap in value.

  • Model value meanings tested against consumer value literature; fruit drinks (Zeithaml 1988), auto business to business (Flint, Woodruff and Gardial 2002), value typologies (Richins 1995, Holbrook 1996, Woodruff 1997)


This chapter has presented a value model of innovation, developed from the grounded theory practices in this thesis. The model is complex but offers a dynamic, subjective, contextual, and interpretive view of how consumers (at least in a 3G mobile phone context) understand value in a new technology. In the next chapter, I conclude and consider limitations, recommendations and further work to extend and improve the value model.

Comments welcome...!







Layer 1: Value structure:

Three value conversations (individual, social and telco)

Three value phases (pre purchase, post purchase, consequences of value)



Layer 2: Value Practices:

Pre: Post: Consequences:

Social: Individual: Telco:






Layer 3: Value Meanings:

Pre: Post: Underlying

Tuesday, September 7, 2010

How to sell the sizzle of the NBN?


Proposed Poster for IBES Symposium 21 Sept,
(Institute for a Broadband Enabled Society, University of Melbourne)

NBN: faster, simpler, cheaper broadband.
Get more…. Do more… on the NBN.



What is the NBN? Liberal Coalition view
Final Poster a4 print (1Mb) | a1 print (9Mb) | Draft (1.2Mb)| Value Model (170k)





Background


Why do consumers adopt new technology? What holds them back? How much will they pay? Past innovation theory focuses on early and later adopters, the young and high income earners (Rogers 2003). Value theory suggests consumer goals drive consumer choices (Woodruff 1997). Co-construction of value (Vargo and Lusch 2008) is a new perspective suggesting consumer value drives successful innovation (Kim and Mauborgne 2005). Innovation succeeds when it creates consumer and shareholder value. Innovation fails when it fails to create value.

Aim


This project aims to understand how consumers understand value in a new technology. Using grounded theory, I am seeking how consumers differ in their needs rather than what they have in common. Understanding value dynamics and building a theory that explains how value shifts over time and why is a focus.

Technology Findings


Approach: 3G mobile broadband is the site for this research as a proxy for understanding the slower moving broadband sector. I interviewed consumers and telecoms analysts to discover how the consumers came to have a 3G mobile phone, what their experience was, and what if anything they would change about their experience. Telecoms analysts were interviewed, since the telcos were reticent to particiate. The analysts described how the 3G telcos were going to make a return from their 3G investment, who they were targetting and how they were going o capture consumers and revenue in the marketplace. 3G telco annual reports and brochures were also sources of telco intentions, to contrast with consumers.

Results: Consumers assess value in new technology, such as 3G mobile broadband, through a number of processes (exploring, comparing, recommending) and by aggregating competing value meanings, such as novelty, beauty, power, simplicity, service, reliability against price. Valuing takes place both before and after purchase, and positive value outcomes are important for ongoing social recommending. Bargain hunting is an important driver of new technology adoption. Consumer love bargains, because bargains are gains in value.

Consumers avoid (filtering) low value messages, and reject uninteresting technology approaches (closing). The NBN must cut through these value construction processes to engage consumers. Social construction value construction processes are important (observing, inquiring, recommending). Therefore, IBES should set up connected demonstration kiosks (in cinemas, libraries and the NGV) to show consumers what NBN performance is like. Video services, and play is a key to consumers getting the message that NBN is good value, but pricing is critical too.

Conclusion


To sell the sizzle of the NBN, we need to talk about how the NBN creates value for consumers. The focus should become how the NBN is cheaper ($ per GB), faster, and ideally simpler in pricing, choice, and usage. We should forget the $43 billion headline price, and 1 Gbps headline speed and talk in terms consumers understand: price per month.
NBN: Do more, Get more…. On the NBN. Faster, cheaper, simpler. Easy…!

Poster contains three Use Cases, with image to follow....

Thursday, August 12, 2010

Ten things I would do with 1Gbps NBN...


NBN (National Broadband Network) CEO Quigley announces Gb network test successful, today. Given unlimited download (as proposed by the McKinsey NBN implementation advice, what would I use GB NBN for?


* - possible with my internet now

** - not possible now

43 yo Phd student
skype my nephew 2000km away in HD**
lecture my innovation class from rural town**
watch HD Stanford/Harvard webcasts and interact**
talk to the doctor without travel*
watch Aegean sunset in HD**
interview for job 1000km away from home**
Jam with sister in Germany, she on violin, me on trumpet**
watch my nephews school play live**
give English lesson with an Asian English learner*
watch webcast of NBN AIIA lunch talk*
My internet: 4Gb 3G VirginBroadband at 500k inc local/std calls $60/mth


80 yo father
skype my 2000km away son*
talk to doctor online*
watch Andre Rieu concert live*
borrow library books*
record video memoirs and store online**
watch Parliament*
chat to overseas daughter (skype)*
browse family photos online*
train young lawyers*
keep an eye on Arsenal football games live*
My internet: 2Gb ADSL2 $30/mth

What is not possible now is to do these things all at once, or within our download limits.

Tuesday, August 10, 2010

Comparing VM with the literature


In June 2008, I wrote a results paper for the DRUID conference at Copenhagen Business School. An earlier version of the paper compared Value Management with the innovation and consumer value literature.

Innovation lit compared:

  • Christensen (1997) The innovator's dilemma

  • Bass (1969) A new product growth model for consumer durables, Management Science

  • Ryan and Gross (1943) The diffusion of hybrid seed corn

  • Bijker (1995) Of bicycles, bakelites and bulbs: toward a theory of sociotechnical change

  • Rogers (1962, 2003) Diffusion of innovations


Consumer value lit compared:

  • Holbrook (1996) Customer value ACR

  • Zeithaml (1988) Consumer perceptions of price, quality and value. Journal of Marketing

  • Woodruff (1997) Customer value: the next source of competitive advantage. JAMS

  • Flint, Woodruff and Gardial (2002) Eploring the phenomenon of customers' desired value change. Journal of Marketing

  • Not included here, ut to include in thesis: Richins 1994 Valuing things. JCR



Pdf 24 pages of comparison: http://depositfiles.com/files/rbhxe5tn9
For your reading pleasure, and any comments welcome. This is a draft. See final DRUID paper here.